Predictive Analyst Jobs in California (NOW HIRING)

Your Role
The Actuarial Pay for Value team serves as a strategic partner to Blue Shield leadership in designing and advancing innovative payment models, value-based care strategies, provider incentives, and new program concepts that improve affordability, quality, provider performance, and member outcomes across the enterprise. The Actuarial Analyst, Consultant will report to the Senior Manager, Actuarial Pay for Value. In this role, you will serve as a lead actuarial subject matter expert responsible for shaping enterprise payment and value-based care strategies, developing new program concepts, evaluating financial impact, and translating innovative ideas into scalable solutions that improve affordability, quality, provider performance, and member outcomes.
You will partner cross-functionally with business, clinical, operational, technology, finance, and provider stakeholders to guide complex workstreams from concept through implementation, influence recommendations, navigate ambiguity, and provide direction and review for junior team members.
Responsibilities
Your Work
In this role, you will:

• Understand the core principles and functionality of decision, descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytic methods including forecasting, statistical and machine learning techniques
• Conduct and develop analysis, assess risk and population risk scores and assignment, develop pricing and trends, assess changes in benefit designs, develop reserves, perform forecasting, analyze provider reimbursement terms and/or evaluate actuarial risk related analysis
• Coordinate, prepare, perform, and audit actuarial analyses to assist in the development of complex actuarial formulations leading to the recommendation of pricing, trending, reserving, provider reimbursement and/or risk assessment strategies
• Perform data exploration using analytical programming languages including Python, SQL, and SAS, and deploy predictive analytics and machine learning techniques to improve forecasting, financial modeling, risk prediction, and operational efficiencies
• Direct, coordinate, and/or develop evaluation and financial reporting standards for internal and external reports
• Lead the development of new Pay for Value programs, provider payment strategies, and analytical frameworks that advance affordability, quality, provider performance, and member outcomes.
• Evaluate and shape strategic initiatives through financial modeling, ROI analyses, savings assessments, forecasting methodologies, vendor evaluations, and program design recommendations that support investment and implementation decisions.
• Lead cross-functional collaboration across business, clinical, operational, technology, finance, and provider stakeholders to translate strategic concepts into actionable plans, build alignment, navigate ambiguity, resolve issues, and move initiatives from ideation through execution
• Develop innovative, visually compelling, and professionally designed analytical tools, dashboards, forecasting models, and executive reporting packages that transform complex data into actionable insights and support decision-making
• Provide guidance, delegation, peer review, and technical support to junior actuarial staff while serving as a primary point of contact for questions related to assigned Pay for Value workstreams

Qualifications
Your Knowledge and Experience

• Requires a college degree with at least a minor in mathematics, statistics, computer science or equivalent business experience
• Requires at least 6 years of professional actuarial experience
• Typically, has obtained their ASA designation and has completed 1 to 2 courses toward their FSA designation
• Required experience in healthcare actuarial analytics, provider reimbursement, value-based care, pricing, forecasting, reserving, risk adjustment, provider contracting, or related financial modeling
• Required advanced proficiency in Excel and analytical programming languages such as SQL, Python, and SAS, with demonstrated experience developing financial models, forecasting methodologies, pricing and savings analyses, analytical frameworks, automation solutions, and decision-support tools
• Required ability to independently develop multiple potential solutions to complex and ambiguous business problems, formulate recommendations with supporting rationale, influence decisions without direct authority, and manage large cross-functional projects or processes
• Required ability to communicate complex actuarial findings and strategic recommendations to technical and non-technical audiences, including leadership and cross-functional stakeholders
• Desired experience guiding, mentoring, delegating work to, and reviewing work products for junior actuarial analysts or other quantitative professionals
• Desired experience with Tableau, Power BI, data visualization technologies, dashboard development, reporting automation, executive reporting solutions, and visually compelling decision-support tools

Hybrid
This role requires employees to be in-office based on our hybrid workplace model, balancing purposeful in-person collaboration with flexibility. For most teams, this means coming into the office two days each week.
Employees living more than 50 miles from an office location will work with their manager to determine in-office time based on business need.
About the Team
About Blue Shield of California
As of January 2025, Blue Shield of California became a subsidiary of Ascendiun. Ascendiun is a nonprofit corporate entity that is the parent to a family of organizations including Blue Shield of California and its subsidiary, Blue Shield of California Promise Health Plan; Altais, a clinical services company; and Stellarus, a company designed to scale healthcare solutions. Together, these organizations are referred to as the Ascendiun Family of Companies.
At Blue Shield of California, our mission is to create a healthcare system worthy of our family and friends and sustainably affordable. We are transforming health care in a way that genuinely serves our nonprofit mission by lowering costs, improving quality, and enhancing the member and physician experience.
To achieve our mission, we foster an environment where all employees can thrive and contribute fully to address the needs of the various communities we serve. We are committed to creating and maintaining a supportive workplace that upholds our values and advances our goals.
Blue Shield is a U.S. News Best Company to work for, a Deloitte U.S. Best Managed Company and a Top 100 Inspiring Workplace. We were recognized by Fair360 as a Top Regional Company, and one of the 50 most community-minded companies in the United States by Points of Light. Here at Blue Shield, we strive to make a positive change across our industry and communities - join us!
Our Values:

• Honest. We hold ourselves to the highest ethical and integrity standards. We build trust by doing what we say we're going to do and by acknowledging and correcting where we fall short.
• Human. We strive to listen and communicate effectively, showing empathy by understanding others' perspectives.
• Courageous. We stand up for what we believe in and are committed to the hard work necessary to achieve our ambitious goals.

Our Workplace Model
We believe in fostering a workplace environment that balances purposeful in-person collaboration with flexibility - providing clear expectations while respecting the diverse needs of our workforce. Our workplace model is designed around intentional in-person interaction, collaboration, connection, creativity and flexibility:

• For most teams, this means coming into the office two days per week.
• Employees living more than 50 miles from an office location, out of state employees, and employees in certain member-facing roles should work with their manager to determine in-office time based on business need.
• For employees with medical conditions that may impact their ability to work in-office, we are committed to engaging in an interactive process and providing reasonable accommodations to ensure their work environment is conducive to their success and well-being.

The Company reserves the right to require more presence in the office based on business needs, and requirements are subject to change with periodic reviews.
Physical Requirements:
Office Environment - roles involving part to full time schedule in Office Environment. Based in our physical offices and work from home office/deskwork - Activity level: Sedentary, frequency most of work day.
Please click here for further physical requirement detail.
Equal Employment Opportunity:
External hires must pass a background check/drug screen. Qualified applicants with arrest records and/or conviction records will be considered for employment in a manner consistent with Federal, State and local laws, including but not limited to the San Francisco Fair Chance Ordinance. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regards to race, color, religion, sex, national origin, sexual orientation, gender identity, protected veteran status or disability status and any other classification protected by Federal, State and local laws.