Traders - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities, alternative ...
Traders - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities, alternative ...
Portfolio Manager - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities ...
Portfolio Manager - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities ...
Compliance Lead, Prediction Markets
Miami, FL · On-site
$150K/yr
Betr is building a prediction markets product offering event-based contracts, and we're looking for an experienced compliance and regulatory professional to help build and scale our regulatory ...
Quick apply
Compliance Lead, Prediction Markets
Miami, FL · On-site
$150K/yr
Betr is building a prediction markets product offering event-based contracts, and we're looking for an experienced compliance and regulatory professional to help build and scale our regulatory ...
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · Hybrid
$144K - $190K/yr
In this role, you will work on how our autonomy system predicts the behavior, intent, and future motion of other road users, and how those predictions are used by the planning system to make safe ...
New
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · Hybrid
$144K - $190K/yr
In this role, you will work on how our autonomy system predicts the behavior, intent, and future motion of other road users, and how those predictions are used by the planning system to make safe ...
New
Quantitative Analyst - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities ...
Quantitative Analyst - Prediction Markets About Moreton Capital Partners Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities ...
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
Own prediction improvements within the Planning team. Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes.
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
Own prediction improvements within the Planning team. Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes.
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$145K - $192K/yr
Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes. • Improve prediction-planning interfaces, including ...
New
Senior Software Engineer, Behavior Prediction- Planning
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$145K - $192K/yr
Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes. • Improve prediction-planning interfaces, including ...
New
Compliance Lead, Prediction Markets
Miami, FL · On-site
$150K/yr
Betr is building a prediction markets product offering event-based contracts, and we're looking for an experienced compliance and regulatory professional to help build and scale our regulatory ...
Compliance Lead, Prediction Markets
Miami, FL · On-site
$150K/yr
Betr is building a prediction markets product offering event-based contracts, and we're looking for an experienced compliance and regulatory professional to help build and scale our regulatory ...
Own prediction improvements within the Planning team. Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes.
New
Quick apply
Own prediction improvements within the Planning team. Advance prediction models and collaborate closely with ML teams on learned prediction models, model outputs, uncertainty, and failure modes.
New
Patient-Centered Prediction Lead
Boston, MA · On-site
Patient-Centered Prediction Lead ZSD delivers successful projects in biomarker selection, patient segmentation, translational hypothesis validation, and multi-modal data integration, and demand for ...
Patient-Centered Prediction Lead
Boston, MA · On-site
Patient-Centered Prediction Lead ZSD delivers successful projects in biomarker selection, patient segmentation, translational hypothesis validation, and multi-modal data integration, and demand for ...
He or she either is familiar with the Prediction Market industry or is ready and eager to learn. In this role, you will play a key part in our Prediction Market affiliate content and coverage ...
He or she either is familiar with the Prediction Market industry or is ready and eager to learn. In this role, you will play a key part in our Prediction Market affiliate content and coverage ...
Senior/Staff Behavior Prediction Engineer
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$170K - $250K/yr
Develop key modules of the behavior prediction system, focusing on accurately predicting the movements and actions of surrounding objects to enhance the decision-making capabilities of our autonomous ...
Senior/Staff Behavior Prediction Engineer
Mountain View, CA · On-site
$170K - $250K/yr
Develop key modules of the behavior prediction system, focusing on accurately predicting the movements and actions of surrounding objects to enhance the decision-making capabilities of our autonomous ...
Software Engineer: State Estimation & Prediction
Los Angeles, CA · On-site
$135K - $170K/yr
State Estimation & Prediction , you'll be leading the development of our state estimation and prediction models at the core of Lodestar's flagship product, MITHRIL. You'll be focusing on researching ...
Software Engineer: State Estimation & Prediction
Los Angeles, CA · On-site
$135K - $170K/yr
State Estimation & Prediction , you'll be leading the development of our state estimation and prediction models at the core of Lodestar's flagship product, MITHRIL. You'll be focusing on researching ...
He or she either is familiar with the Prediction Market industry or is ready and eager to learn. In this role, you will play a key part in our Prediction Market affiliate content and coverage ...
He or she either is familiar with the Prediction Market industry or is ready and eager to learn. In this role, you will play a key part in our Prediction Market affiliate content and coverage ...
Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction
Palo Alto, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
The Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction will build production software for model training and evaluation, improve performance prediction models, and partner with teams to enhance ...
Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction
Palo Alto, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
The Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction will build production software for model training and evaluation, improve performance prediction models, and partner with teams to enhance ...
Senior/Staff Behavior Prediction Engineer
$170K - $250K/yr
Develop key modules of the behavior prediction system, focusing on accurately predicting the movements and actions of surrounding objects to enhance the decision-making capabilities of our autonomous ...
Senior/Staff Behavior Prediction Engineer
$170K - $250K/yr
Develop key modules of the behavior prediction system, focusing on accurately predicting the movements and actions of surrounding objects to enhance the decision-making capabilities of our autonomous ...
Software Engineer: State Estimation & Prediction
$135K - $170K/yr
State Estimation & Prediction , you'll be leading the development of our state estimation and prediction models at the core of Lodestar's flagship product, MITHRIL . You'll be focusing on researching ...
Software Engineer: State Estimation & Prediction
$135K - $170K/yr
State Estimation & Prediction , you'll be leading the development of our state estimation and prediction models at the core of Lodestar's flagship product, MITHRIL . You'll be focusing on researching ...
The Role We are seeking a sharp, reliable, and self-directed Prediction Markets Trader to cover our prediction markets book during nights and weekends. This is a unique role sitting at the ...
The Role We are seeking a sharp, reliable, and self-directed Prediction Markets Trader to cover our prediction markets book during nights and weekends. This is a unique role sitting at the ...
Prediction Markets Trader/Market Maker
New York, NY · On-site
$100K - $250K/yr
Research prediction markets, protocols, strategies, and manage a sizeable portfolio. * Conduct in-depth research on prediction markets. * Design and deploy algorithmic trading strategies to the ...
Quick apply
Prediction Markets Trader/Market Maker
New York, NY · On-site
$100K - $250K/yr
Research prediction markets, protocols, strategies, and manage a sizeable portfolio. * Conduct in-depth research on prediction markets. * Design and deploy algorithmic trading strategies to the ...
Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction
Palo Alto, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
The Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction will build machine learning models and tools to evaluate autonomy behavior and improve performance prediction in a safety-critical environment.
Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction
Palo Alto, CA · On-site
$144K - $190K/yr
The Senior Software Engineer - Performance Prediction will build machine learning models and tools to evaluate autonomy behavior and improve performance prediction in a safety-critical environment.
Prediction information
See salary details
$41.5K - $56K
3% of jobs
$56K - $70.5K
0% of jobs
$70.5K - $85K
1% of jobs
$85K - $99.5K
4% of jobs
$99.5K - $114K
11% of jobs
$119.3K is the 25th percentile. Wages below this are outliers.
$114K - $128.5K
16% of jobs
The median wage is $141.2K / yr.
$128.5K - $143K
17% of jobs
$143K - $157.5K
16% of jobs
$163.4K is the 75th percentile. Wages above this are outliers.
$157.5K - $172K
17% of jobs
$172K - $186.5K
10% of jobs
$186.5K - $201K
5% of jobs
$41.5K
$142.5K
$201K
How much do prediction jobs pay per year?
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How to make $10,000 a month without a degree?
What professions make $200,000 a year without a degree?
What is the difference between Prediction vs Data Analyst?
| Aspect | Prediction | Data Analyst |
|---|---|---|
| Primary Focus | Forecasting future trends and outcomes | Analyzing historical data to identify patterns |
| Skills & Certifications | Statistical modeling, machine learning, programming (Python, R) | Data visualization, SQL, Excel, statistical analysis |
| Work Environment | Data science teams, research labs, tech companies | Business, finance, marketing departments |
| Industry Usage | Used for predictive modeling and forecasting | Used for reporting and insights |
Prediction roles focus on forecasting future outcomes using advanced models, while Data Analysts interpret existing data to provide insights. Both roles require analytical skills but differ in their primary objectives and tools used.

Other
Posted 24 days ago
Job description
About Moreton Capital Partners
Moreton Capital Partners (MCP) is a CFTC regulated systematic, technology-first investment manager trading across commodities, alternative markets, and emerging data-rich asset classes. We combine quantitative modelling, agentic AI, and deep domain expertise to build strategies with durable, uncorrelated alpha.
Prediction markets are one of the firm's high-conviction growth areas. We are building a dedicated strategy, partnering and trading on world leading event contract platforms, and are hiring global traders to join the team and run a small live book from day one.
The Role
As a Trader, you will execute and actively manage a live portfolio of prediction market positions. You will develop and own a suite of strategies, reporting into a Portfolio Manager and accessing quant analysts to continuously refine our edge.
This is an execution-first role: you are on the tools, managing live positions, and responsible for real P&L. We are equally interested in proven practitioners and sharp, self-directed candidates earlier in their careers who can demonstrate they have already been doing this seriously on their own.
Key Responsibilities
- Monitor and manage live positions across Polymarket (CLOB, Gamma, Subgraph APIs) and Kalshi (REST, WebSocket) throughout the trading day.
- Execute strategies including: dynamic market making with real-time skew adjustment, order-flow and book imbalance exploitation, cross-platform pricing arbitrage, news and event momentum, and mean-reversion on statistically related contract pairs.
- Build and backtest quantitative models using historical tick data, Bayesian probability frameworks, NLP-driven news parsing, and ML-based fair value estimation.
- Collaborate with engineering on execution infrastructure - API integrations, order routing, position monitoring, and anomaly detection.
- Maintain thorough post-trade analysis: attribution, model performance, slippage, and strategy decay monitoring.
- Contribute ideas to the broader research agenda - prediction markets sit within MCP's wider effort to apply agentic AI and multi-signal frameworks to event-driven alpha.
Requirements
- Direct, hands-on experience trading on Polymarket and/or Kalshi - via personal accounts, proprietary systems, or professional roles. We expect specifics: markets traded, strategies used, edges identified.
- Strong Python skills: pandas, NumPy, backtesting frameworks, and API integrations built from scratch.
- Solid foundation in probability, statistics, time-series analysis, and Bayesian inference.
- Genuine, demonstrable engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem. This is a hard filter: we will ask for specifics about recent resolutions, platform mechanics, and structural observations.
- Undergraduate or higher degree in a quantitative discipline, or equivalent demonstrated ability.
Bonus Points For
- A live profitable track record in prediction markets, options, or event-driven strategies - even at personal scale.
- Experience with blockchain and DeFi tooling: Polygon RPC, USDC wallet management, ethers.js or equivalent.
- Familiarity with low-latency execution, FIX protocol, or Web3 API infrastructure.
- Domain depth in high-volume event categories: professional sports analytics, macroeconomics, geopolitics, climate.
- Interest in or experience with agentic AI applied to trading - an active investment area at MCP.
Who Thrives Here
The Trader role at MCP suits someone who runs hot on markets - who monitors Polymarket and Kalshi not because they have to, but because they cannot help it. If you have been building personal models, studying resolution patterns, or finding edges in thin markets on your own time, you are exactly who we want to talk to. We are as interested in exceptional self-starters earlier in their careers as we are in experienced professionals.
How to Apply
Send your CV and a cover letter that goes beyond generic interest. Tell us specifically: markets you have traded, strategies you have run, edges you have found, and what you see as the clearest structural opportunities available today on Polymarket or Kalshi.
Include links to any relevant work - GitHub, personal research, or portfolio evidence. Applications reviewed on a rolling basis. Strong candidates will progress through a technical screen, strategy discussion, and a live modelling or coding exercise.
Benefits
Performance-linked compensation. Details discussed at the offer stage.