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$25

$27

$29

How much do loss forecasting jobs pay per hour?

As of Jun 6, 2026, the average hourly pay for loss forecasting in the United States is $27.64, according to ZipRecruiter salary data. Most workers in this role earn between $26.44 and $28.85 per hour, depending on experience, location, and employer.

What does a typical day look like for someone working in Loss Forecasting?

A typical day in Loss Forecasting involves analyzing large data sets, developing financial models to predict potential losses, and preparing regular forecast reports for management. You will often collaborate with risk management, credit, and finance teams to align assumptions, validate model outputs, and ensure data accuracy. Regular responsibilities may also include monitoring trends, updating forecasts based on economic changes, and presenting insights to stakeholders. This collaborative and analytical environment enables continuous learning and exposure to diverse financial concepts, making it an engaging role for professionals passionate about data-driven decision-making.

What is a Loss Forecasting job?

A Loss Forecasting job involves analyzing historical data, economic trends, and business factors to predict potential financial losses for a company. Professionals in this role use statistical models and data analytics to estimate future credit losses, insurance claims, or operational risks. Their insights help businesses make informed decisions on risk management, financial planning, and regulatory compliance. Strong analytical skills, proficiency in data modeling, and experience with forecasting techniques are essential for success in this role.

What are the key skills and qualifications needed to thrive in the Loss Forecasting position, and why are they important?

To thrive in Loss Forecasting, you need strong analytical abilities, a solid understanding of statistical modeling, and a background in finance, economics, or a related field. Expertise in tools such as SAS, Python, SQL, and advanced Excel, as well as familiarity with credit risk or financial forecasting certifications, is highly valuable. Clear communication, attention to detail, and the ability to collaborate cross-functionally are key soft skills for this role. These skills are vital to accurately predict financial losses, support strategic decision-making, and maintain compliance within dynamic business environments.

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Loss Forecasting jobs near you
Infographic showing various Loss Forecasting job openings in the United States as of May 2026, with employment types broken down into 96% Full Time, 2% Part Time, and 2% Contract. Highlights an 83% Physical, 6% Hybrid, and 11% Remote job distribution, with an average salary of $57,500 per year, or $27.6 per hour.
Model Validation Manager - Wholesale and Small Business Credit Loss

Model Validation Manager - Wholesale and Small Business Credit Loss

US Bank

Charlotte, NC • On-site

Full-time

Medical, Dental, Vision, Life, Retirement, PTO

Posted 7 days ago

U.S. Bank rating

8.2

Company rating: 8.2 out of 10

Based on 344 frontline employees who took The Breakroom Quiz

38th of 141 rated banks

Job description

At U.S. Bank, we're on a journey to do our best. Helping the customers and businesses we serve to make better and smarter financial decisions and enabling the communities we support to grow and succeed. We believe it takes all of us to bring our shared ambition to life, and each person is unique in their potential. A career with U.S. Bank gives you a wide, ever-growing range of opportunities to discover what makes you thrive at every stage of your career. Try new things, learn new skills and discover what you excel at-all from Day One.

Job Description

U.S. Bank is seeking an experienced Model Validation Manager to lead validation efforts for our Wholesale and Small Business Credit Loss Forecasting models. This role reports to the Director of Credit, Compliance, and Financial Crimes Model Validation within Model Risk Management, part of the Bank's Risk Management and Compliance organization.

This highly visible leadership position operates at the intersection of credit risk, capital planning, and regulatory oversight, partnering closely with senior and executive stakeholders across the Bank. You will lead and develop a team responsible for validating and overseeing a large, complex inventory of CCAR and CECL credit loss forecasting models across commercial portfolios. These models are foundational to enterprise credit risk assessment, loss forecasting, reserving, and capital planning-offering a unique opportunity to deliver highimpact insights through rigorous analysis, clear documentation, and strong stakeholder engagement.

Key Responsibilities

  • Lead and develop a highperforming analytics team responsible for independent validation of the Bank's wholesale and small business portfolio credit loss forecasting models supporting CCAR stress testing and CECL requirements.
  • Oversee endtoend model validation activities, including preimplementation validations, periodic reviews, and ongoing monitoring, providing effective challenge to model design, methodology, data, processes, and performance.
  • Ensure rigorous execution of validation analyses and drive continuous enhancement of validation standards and processes.
  • Review and approve validation deliverables to ensure conclusions are wellsupported, clearly documented, and communicated effectively to stakeholders with varying levels of technical expertise.
  • Identify model risks and findings, drive corrective actions, and ensure timely remediation in alignment with Model Risk Management program requirements.
  • Manage validation execution against plan, including resource allocation, coaching, prioritization, and quality control across the validation portfolio.
  • Engage and partner with business stakeholders throughout validation and remediation efforts, fostering strong relationships while maintaining independent and credible challenge.
  • Manage internal audits and regulatory examinations, serving as a key point of contact for regulators, auditors, and senior stakeholders to clearly articulate validation analyses, findings, and conclusions, and effectively address supervisory feedback.

Basic Qualifications

  • Bachelor's degree (MA/MS/PhD strongly preferred) and nine or more years of relevant experience.
  • Five or more years of experience leading a quantitative modeling team.

Preferred Skills/Experience

  • Extensive knowledge of various regression techniques, parametric and non-parametric algorithms, times series techniques, and other statistical models, various model validation tests/methodologies, using SAS or similar statistical packages.
  • Advanced data compilation, programming skills and qualitative analysis skills.
  • Thorough knowledge of the quantitative and qualitative risk factors, industry risks, competition risks, and risk management approaches.
  • Thorough knowledge of applicable regulatory rules, guidance, or supervisory letters
  • In depth knowledge of Bank products and services.
  • Demonstrated independence, teamwork and leadership skills.
  • Strong analytical, organizational, problem-solving, negotiation, and project management skills.
  • Excellent interpersonal, verbal and written communication skills.

Location Requirements
This role requires working from a U.S. Bank location three (3) or more days per week.

If there's anything we can do to accommodate a disability during any portion of the application or hiring process, please refer to ourdisability accommodations for applicants.

Benefits:

Our approach to benefits and total rewards considers our team members' whole selves and what may be needed to thrive in and outside work. That's why our benefits are designed to help you and your family boost your health, protect your financial security and give you peace of mind. Our benefits include the following:

  • Healthcare (medical, dental, vision)

  • Basic term and optional term life insurance

  • Short-term and long-term disability

  • Pregnancy disability and parental leave

  • 401(k) and employer-funded retirement plan

  • Paid vacation (from two to five weeks depending on salary grade and tenure)

  • Up to 11 paid holiday opportunities

  • Adoption assistance

  • Sick and Safe Leave accruals of one hour for every 30 worked, up to 80 hours per calendar year unless otherwise provided by law

Review our full benefits available by employment status here.

U.S. Bank is an equal opportunity employer. We consider all qualified applicants without regard to race, religion, color, sex, national origin, age, sexual orientation, gender identity, disability or veteran status, and other factors protected under applicable law.

E-Verify

U.S. Bank participates in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security E-Verify program in all facilities located in the United States and certain U.S. territories. The E-Verify program is an Internet-based employment eligibility verification system operated by the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services. Learn more about theE-Verify program.

The salary range reflects figures based on the primary location, which is listed first. The actual range for the role may differ based on the location of the role. In addition to salary, U.S. Bank offers a comprehensive benefits package, including incentive and recognition programs, equity stock purchase 401(k) contribution and pension (all benefits are subject to eligibility requirements). Pay Range: $170,255.00 - $200,300.00

U.S. Bank will consider qualified applicants with arrest or conviction records for employment. U.S. Bank conducts background checks consistent with applicable local laws, including the Los Angeles County Fair Chance Ordinance and the California Fair Chance Act as well as the San Francisco Fair Chance Ordinance. U.S. Bank is subject to, and conducts background checks consistent with the requirements of Section 19 of the Federal Deposit Insurance Act (FDIA). In addition, certain positions may also be subject to the requirements of FINRA, NMLS registration, Reg Z, Reg G, OFAC, the NFA, the FCPA, the Bank Secrecy Act, the SAFE Act, and/or federal guidelines applicable to an agreement, such as those related to ethics, safety, or operational procedures.

Applicants must be able to comply with U.S. Bank policies and procedures including the Code of Ethics and Business Conduct and related workplace conduct and safety policies.

Posting may be closed earlier due to high volume of applicants.

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About U.S. Bank

Sourced by ZipRecruiter

U.S. Bank is a reputable and established financial institution that plays a significant role in the banking sector. With a history spanning over 150 years, U.S. Bank has built a strong foundation of trust and reliability. As a comprehensive bank, they offer a wide array of financial products and services to cater to the diverse needs of their customers, including individuals, businesses, and communities. Customer satisfaction is of utmost importance to U.S. Bank. They prioritize delivering exceptional service and fostering long-term relationships with their clients. Through their extensive network of branches and advanced digital banking platforms, U.S. Bank ensures convenient access to their services, empowering customers to manage their finances efficiently and securely.

Industry

Banking and credit intermediation

Company size

10,000+ Employees

Headquarters location

Minneapolis, MN, US

Year founded

1863

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