Contract Probabilistic Risk Analysis Engineer Jobs in Ashburn, VA

About Peraton Peraton is a next-generation national security company that drives missions of consequence spanning the globe and extending to the farthest reaches of the galaxy. As the world's leading mission capability integrator and transformative enterprise IT provider, we deliver trusted, highly differentiated solutions and technologies to protect our nation and allies. Peraton operates at the critical nexus between traditional and nontraditional threats across all domains: land, sea, space, air, and cyberspace. The company serves as a valued partner to essential government agencies and supports every branch of the U.S. armed forces. Each day, our employees solve the most daunting challenges that our customers face. Visit peraton.com to learn how we're keeping people around the world safe and secure. About The Role Peraton is a premier national security and enterprise IT company delivering mission-critical solutions across every domain - land, sea, space, air, and cyberspace - for U.S. government agencies and all branches of the armed forces. We are driven by a commitment to protecting what matters most. Peraton is seeking an experienced Schedule & Risk Manager to serve as the authoritative source of schedule health and delivery risk intelligence on a large-scale federal program. This role owns the systems engineering scheduling - from initial development and baseline establishment through ongoing maintenance, variance analysis, and critical path management. You will operate at the intersection of schedule, cost, and risk, translating complex program data into actionable early warning indicators that enable BNATCS leadership to make informed, timely decisions. Your work directly supports mission-critical delivery outcomes in a high-visibility federal environment. This position will be located in Herndon, VA. Key Responsibilities * Develop, baseline, and maintain the scheduling across all BNATCS Architecture & Systems Engineering activities, integrating inputs from engineering, operations, subcontractors, and government stakeholders
* Perform critical path analysis on a continuous basis, identifying schedule drivers, float consumption trends, and near-critical path risks before they become delivery threats
* Execute Schedule Risk Analysis (SRA) including Monte Carlo simulation to quantify schedule uncertainty, establish confidence intervals, and support realistic milestone commitment decisions
* Maintain and manage the program risk register, facilitating risk identification, quantification (cost and schedule impact), mitigation planning, and status tracking across all risk owners
* Calculate and report Earned Value Management (EVM) metrics - SPI, CPI, TCPI, VAC, EAC - and translate performance data into corrective action recommendations for program leadership
* Conduct schedule variance root cause analysis, distinguishing between recoverable slippage and systemic delivery risk, and developing recovery plan options
* Produce schedule health metrics and early warning indicators - including schedule margin burn-down, critical path trend analysis, and risk-adjusted milestone forecasts - for weekly, monthly, and milestone reporting cycles
* Integrate schedule and risk data into Integrated Program Management Reports (IPMRs) and other government-required deliverables
* Coordinate with subcontractors and cross-functional teams to ensure schedule inputs are accurate, timely, and traceable to the IMS baseline
* Support baseline change control processes, assessing schedule and cost impacts of proposed changes and presenting findings to the Configuration Control Board (CCB)
* Maintain tooling environments for schedule and risk management, ensuring data integrity, version control, and audit readiness across all schedule artifacts
Qualifications Required Qualifications * Ability to obtain Public Trust clearance
* US Citizenship
* 10+ years of experience in program scheduling, risk management, or earned value management on large-scale federal or defense programs
* Bachelor's degree in Engineering, Systems Science, Business, or a related field (or 4 additional years of relevant experience in lieu of degree)
* Expert proficiency in MS Project and/or Primavera P6 for schedule development, maintenance, and critical path analysis
* Hands-on experience with JIRA, Jama, and/or SSI scheduling and requirements management tools in a federal program context
* Demonstrated ability to execute critical path analysis and Schedule Risk Analysis (SRA), including Monte Carlo simulation using tools such as Acumen Fuse, Oracle Risk Analysis, or equivalent
* Proven experience with risk quantification - translating identified risks into cost and schedule reserve estimates with defensible probability and impact assessments
* Working knowledge of EVM metrics (SPI, CPI, TCPI, VAC, EAC) and experience using performance data to drive corrective action on federal contracts
* Demonstrated experience developing and maintaining integrated schedules composing multiple projects in compliance with DCMA 14-Point Assessment criteria or equivalent federal scheduling standards
* Proficiency in schedule variance root cause analysis and recovery planning, with the ability to distinguish between isolated slippage and systemic delivery risk
* Strong written and verbal communication skills, with the ability to present schedule and risk findings clearly to program managers, government customers, and executive stakeholdersPreferred Qualifications * PMI Scheduling Professional (PMI-SP) or PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) certification
* AACE International certification (PSP - Planning & Scheduling Professional, or CCP - Certified Cost Professional)
* Background in Integrated Baseline Reviews (IBRs) and formal EVMS surveillance in a government contracting environment
* Experience with Acumen Fuse or similar schedule analytics platforms for automated schedule health scoring and logic analysis
* Familiarity with DevSecOps or Agile program environments and the challenges of integrating sprint-based delivery into a waterfall schedule structure
* Experience aligning schedule and risk reporting with ITSM change and release management processes
#BNATCS #LSI2 Details Target Salary Range: $112,000 - $179,000. This represents the typical salary range for this position. Salary is determined by various factors, including but not limited to, the scope and responsibilities of the position, the individual's experience, education, knowledge, skills, and competencies, as well as geographic location and business and contract considerations. Depending on the position, employees may be eligible for overtime, shift differential, and a discretionary bonus in addition to base pay. Benefits Statement: Peraton offers eligible employees a variety of benefits including medical, dental, vision, life, health savings account, short/long term disability, EAP, parental leave, 401(k), paid time off (PTO) for vacation, and company paid holidays. A full listing of available benefits can be viewed at https://www.careers.peraton.com/benefits. Application Statements: The application period for the job is estimated to be 30 days from the job posting date. However, this timeline may be shortened or extended depending on business needs and the availability of qualified candidates. By applying to this job, you are expressing interest in the role and the Company. During the review of your application, you may be required to participate in an on-camera interview, as well as participate in a process to verify your identity. EEO:Equal opportunity employer, including disability and protected veterans, or other characteristics protected by law.